Analysis on West Bengal Assembly Election 2026



West Bengal Seat Projection 2026


Party Vote 2026 (Forecast) Seats 2026 (Forecast)
BJP 48% ± 3% 192 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
TMC+ 38% ± 3% 100 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
All Others 14% ± 3% 2 ± 2 (Plus / Minus 2) Seats
How major caste is moving in this election


  BJP TMC+
Muslim 8% 71%
SC 67% 22%
OBC 61% 27%
ST 53% 40%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






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