| Party | Vote 2022 (Forecast) | Seats 2022 (Forecast) |
| BJP+ | 43% ± 3% | 294 ± 19 (Plus / Minus 19) Seats |
| SP+ | 35% ± 3% | 105 ± 19 (Plus / Minus 19) Seats |
| BSP | 13% ± 3% | 2 ± 2 (Plus / Minus 2) Seats |
| Congress | 4% ± 3% | 1 ± 1 (Plus / Minus 1) Seats |
| All Others | 5% ± 3% | 1 ± 1 (Plus / Minus 1) Seats |
| 1. What will influence you in deciding on your voting pattern? |
| Political Party & Candidate : 35% |
| Development : 18% |
| Corruption : 14% |
| Local Issues : 19% |
| Any other : 3% |
| 2. Do you want a change of government in the state? |
| Yes : 40% |
| No : 47% |
| 3. How major caste is moving in this election. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Note for Caste figures: |
| 1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT” |
| 2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures. |
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