Analysis on Tamil Nadu Assembly Election 2026



Tamil Nadu Seat Projection 2026


Party Vote 2026 (Forecast) Seats 2026 (Forecast)
AIADMK+ 27% ± 3% 45 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
DMK+ 39% ± 3% 125 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
TVK 30% ± 3% 63 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
Others 4% ± 3% 1 ± 1 (Plus / Minus 1) Seats
How major caste is moving in this election


  AIADMK+ DMK+ TVK
BC 32% 36% 29%
MBC 31% 38% 27%
SC 19% 43% 34%
Muslim 8% 64% 25%
Christian 11% 49% 34%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






© All rights reserved by TC Global. Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy

Designed & Developed by SIB Infotech