Punjab State Analysis



Punjab Seat Projection


Party Vote 2022 (Forecast) Seats 2022 (Forecast)
AAP 45% ± 3% 100 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
Congress 23% ± 3% 10 ± 7 (Plus / Minus 7) Seats
SAD+ 16% ± 3% 6 ± 5 (Plus / Minus 5) Seats
BJP+ 9% ± 3% 1 ± 1 (Plus / Minus 1) Seats
All Others 7% ± 3% 0 + 1 (Plus 1) Seats

Analysis on Punjab



1. What will influence you in deciding on your voting pattern?
      Political Party & Candidate : 21%
      Development : 23%
      Corruption : 31%
      Local Issues : 12%
      Any other : 5%

2. Do you want a change of government in the state?
      Yes : 65%
      No : 24%


3. How major caste is moving in this election.


  Congress SAD+ AAP BJP+
Forward 23% 12% 37% 21%
Jat Sikh 17% 25% 47% 4%
Mazhbi Sikh 22% 16% 53% 3%
SC 27% 11% 52% 5%
OBC 24% 14% 43% 10%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






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