Analysis on Keralam Assembly Election 2026



Keralam Seat Projection 2026


Party Vote 2026 (Forecast) Seats 2026 (Forecast)
UDF 40% ± 3% 69 ± 9 (Plus / Minus 9) Seats
BJP+ 20% ± 3% 7 ± 4 (Plus / Minus 4) Seats
LDF 38% ± 3% 64 ± 9 (Plus / Minus 9) Seats
Others 2% ± 1% 0 ± 1 (Plus / Minus 1) Seats
How major caste is moving in this election


  UDF BJP+ LDF
Nair 32% 39% 28%
Muslim 62% 4% 33%
Eczhava 20% 32% 47%
Christian 53% 11% 34%
SC 31% 18% 49%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






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