Gujarat State Analysis 2022



Gujarat Seat Projection


Party Vote 2022 (Forecast) Seats 2022 (Forecast)
BJP 50% ± 3% 150 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
Cong+ 26% ± 3% 19 ± 9 (Plus / Minus 9) Seats
AAP 20% ± 3% 11 ± 7 (Plus / Minus 7) Seats
Others 4% ± 3% 2 ± 2 (Plus / Minus 2) Seats

Analysis on Gujarat



1. What will influence you in deciding on your voting pattern?
      Political Party & Candidate : 47%
      Development : 31%
      Corruption : 9%
      Local Issues : 7%
      Any other : 4%

2. Do you want a change of government in the state?
      Yes : 38%
      No : 59%


3. How major caste is moving in this election.


  Cong+ BJP AAP
Rajput 25% 61% 7%
Patel 19% 59% 16%
ST 21% 41% 34%
Muslim 44% 13% 39%
SC 28% 47% 20%
OBC 26% 55% 14%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






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