Analysis on Bihar Assembly Election 2025



Bihar Seat Projection 2025


Party Vote 2025 (Forecast) Seats 2025 (Forecast)
BJP+ 44% ± 3% 160 ± 12 (Plus / Minus 12) Seats
RJD+ 38% ± 3% 77 ± 12 (Plus / Minus 12) Seats
Others 18% ± 3% 6 ± 3 (Plus / Minus 3) Seats
How major caste is moving in this election


  BJP+ RJD+
Brahmin, Baniya & Rajput 63% 19%
Yadav 23% 67%
Muslim 12% 69%
SC 58% 26%
OBC & EBC 55% 24%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






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