Analysis on Assam Assembly Election 2026



Assam Seat Projection 2026


Party Vote 2026 (Forecast) Seats 2026 (Forecast)
BJP+ 50% ± 3% 102 ± 9 (Plus / Minus 9) Seats
Cong+ 38% ± 3% 23 ± 9 (Plus / Minus 9) Seats
Others 12% ± 3% 1 ± 1 (Plus / Minus 1) Seats
How major caste is moving in this election


  BJP+ Cong+
Muslim 14% 66%
SC 68% 27%
OBC 69% 23%
ST 63% 26%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






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